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Spencer Sova Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Defense DOB: 2004-01-10 Country: Canada
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2021-22 Erie Otters OHL 64 9 19 28 0.438 0.2531 0.2597 1.1211 1.1501
2022-23 Erie Otters OHL 68 16 23 39 0.574 0.3318 0.3260 1.4696 1.4441
2023-24 Erie Otters OHL 58 14 17 31 0.534 0.3092 0.2890 1.3697 1.2804
2024-25 Brampton Steelheads OHL 58 5 27 32 0.552 0.3192 0.2819 1.4137 1.2485
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Nebraska Omaha D1 NCHC FR 35 2 7 9 0.257
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.27
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.26
2025-26 · Nebraska Omaha
-4.4% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

38%
NCAA D1
12%
NCAA D2/D3
45%
Age-Out / Club
5%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#2703
Defenseman overall
#643
Defenseman born in 2004
#645
in OHL

D1 Comparables

Marc-Antoine Carrier
QMJHL · 2012-13 · 0.37 PPG
→ Brown (0.04 D1 FR PPG)
0.16 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Dominic Racobaldo
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.33 PPG
→ American International (0.12 D1 FR PPG)
0.18 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Benjamin Gallacher
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.45 PPG
→ Ohio State (0.50 D1 FR PPG)
0.24 Elite D
NCAAe PPG
Paul LaDue
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.79 PPG
→ North Dakota (0.51 D1 FR PPG)
0.43 Elite D
NCAAe PPG
Nolan Valleau
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.41 PPG
→ Bowling Green
0.22 No data
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Stuart Stefan
Castleton · 2006-07
1.000 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Corey Stark
Wisconsin-Superior · 2005-06
1.038 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Derek Hanson
Wisconsin-Stout · 2005-06
1.000 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.