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Malcolm Spence Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2006-09-22 Country: Canada
2025 NHL Draft Round 2, Pick #43  ·  New York Rangers New York Rangers
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2022-23 — OHL 64 16 26 42 0.656 0.3808 0.4256 1.6815 1.8792
2023-24 Erie Otters OHL 66 19 43 62 0.939 0.5451 0.5831 2.4072 2.5751
2024-25 Erie Otters OHL 65 32 41 73 1.123 0.6517 0.6635 2.8779 2.9301
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Michigan D1 BigTen FR 40 10 15 25 0.625
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.59
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.62
2025-26 · Michigan
+6.3% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

10%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
5%
Age-Out / Club
85%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#4446
Forward overall
#84
Forward born in 2006
#264
in OHL

D1 Comparables

Austin Cangelosi
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.14 PPG
→ Boston College (0.65 D1 FR PPG)
0.71 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Jake Guentzel
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.22 PPG
→ Nebraska Omaha (0.92 D1 FR PPG)
0.76 Elite
NCAAe PPG
Brendan Harms
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.09 PPG
→ Bemidji State (0.55 D1 FR PPG)
0.69 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Alex Kile
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.07 PPG
→ Michigan (0.21 D1 FR PPG)
0.66 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Tyler Kelleher
NTDP-U18 · 2012-13 · 0.88 PPG
→ New Hampshire (0.43 D1 FR PPG)
0.65 Average
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Geordan Buffoline
New England · 2017-18
1.667 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Brandon Osmundson
Utica · 2016-17
1.448 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Ryan Ellis
SUNY Oswego · 2002-03
1.704 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.