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Andy Nelson Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 1982-10-20 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2000-01 Des Moines Buccaneers USHL 42 16 5 21 0.500 0.2949 0.3096 1.5017 1.5768
2001-02 — USHL 48 13 24 37 0.771 0.4547 0.4548 2.3150 2.3155
2002-03 Waterloo Black Hawks USHL 46 20 30 50 1.087 0.6412 0.6015 3.2647 3.0628
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2006-07 Miami D1 NCHC SR 7 0 0 0 0.000
2005-06 Bowdoin D3 NESCAC SR 27 2 7 9 0.333
2005-06 Miami D1 NCHC JR 3 0 0 0 0.000
2004-05 Bowdoin D3 NESCAC JR 19 4 7 11 0.579
2004-05 Miami D1 NCHC SO 33 5 3 8 0.242
2003-04 Bowdoin D3 NESCAC SO 22 10 4 14 0.636
2003-04 Miami D1 NCHC FR 35 4 10 14 0.400
2002-03 Bowdoin D3 NESCAC FR 7 0 5 5 0.714
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.34
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.71
2002-03 · Bowdoin
+110.3% vs. projection

NCAAe Rankings

#5270
Forward overall
#192
Forward born in 1982
#262
in USHL

D1 Comparables

Kyle Novak
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.20 PPG
→ Western Michigan (0.19 D1 FR PPG)
0.65 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Mike Szmatula
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.21 PPG
→ Northeastern (1.05 D1 FR PPG)
0.65 Elite
NCAAe PPG
Tim Bonner
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.89 PPG
→ Yale
0.48 No data
NCAAe PPG
Michael Huntebrinker
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.91 PPG
→ Minnesota State (0.15 D1 FR PPG)
0.49 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Brandon Wahlin
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.33 PPG
→ UMass (0.13 D1 FR PPG)
0.46 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Gus Katsuras
Hamilton · 2001-02
1.400 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Brandon Osmundson
Utica · 2018-19
1.448 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Ryan Ellis
SUNY Oswego · 2002-03
1.704 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.