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Ella Lucia Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2006-02-08 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2021-22 Little Caesars 16U AAA 16U-AAA-W 64 25 83 108 1.688 0.6799 0.6799 — —
2022-23 Little Caesars 16U AAA 16U-AAA-W 66 32 92 124 1.879 0.7570 0.7570 — —
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Harvard D1 ECAC-W — 34 5 10 15 0.441
2024-25 Harvard D1 ECAC-W — 29 3 5 8 0.276
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.68
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.28
2024-25 · Harvard
-59.2% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

2%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
98%
Club / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#202
Forward overall
#6
Forward born in 2006
#4
in 16U-AAA-W

D1 Comparables

Aly Tremblay
USHS-W · 2012-13 · 2.61 PPG
→ RPI (0.03 D1 FR PPG)
0.76 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Nicole Guagliardo
USHS-W · 2012-13 · 2.54 PPG
→ Mercyhurst (0.16 D1 FR PPG)
0.74 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Katie Detert
USHS-W · 2013-14 · 2.50 PPG
→ St. Cloud State
0.73 No data
NCAAe PPG
Jessie Aney
USHS-MN-W · 2013-14 · 4.36 PPG
→ UConn (0.27 D1 FR PPG)
0.70 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Erin Conway
NE-Prep-Girls · 2012-13 · 1.48 PPG
→ Brown (0.44 D1 FR PPG)
0.68 Average
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Aly Tremblay
RPI ·
0.030 Developing
actual D2/3 PPG
Nicole Guagliardo
Mercyhurst ·
0.156 Developing
actual D2/3 PPG
Katie Detert
St. Cloud State ·
0.000 No data
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.