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Justin Kipkie Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Defense DOB: 2005-07-28 Country: Canada
2025 NHL Draft Round 5, Pick #141  ·  Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
⚠️ Aging Out 2025-26: Turns 20 before Dec 31, 2025 — final eligible junior season.
No commitment set

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NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2021-22 — WHL 8 0 0 0 0.000 — — — —
2022-23 — WHL 67 8 25 33 0.492 0.2396 0.2539 1.2068 1.2787
2023-24 Victoria Royals WHL 67 16 36 52 0.776 0.3776 0.3815 1.9017 1.9212
2024-25 Victoria Royals WHL 64 12 50 62 0.969 0.4713 0.4510 2.3739 2.2715
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Arizona State D1 NCHC FR 35 4 9 13 0.371
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.40
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.37
2025-26 · Arizona State
-7.0% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

8%
NCAA D1
2%
NCAA D2/D3
22%
Age-Out / Club
68%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#1846
Defenseman overall
#405
Defenseman born in 2005
#469
in WHL

D1 Comparables

Niklas Nevalainen
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.55 PPG
→ St. Cloud State (0.23 D1 FR PPG)
0.32 Average D
NCAAe PPG
Ryan Murray
WHL · 2012-13 · 0.74 PPG
→ Hamline (0.28 D1 FR PPG)
0.35 Average D
NCAAe PPG
Ryan Lowney
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.65 PPG
→ Ferris State (0.35 D1 FR PPG)
0.39 Strong D
NCAAe PPG
Barrett Kaib
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.57 PPG
→ Providence (0.19 D1 FR PPG)
0.33 Average D
NCAAe PPG
Matias Cleland
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.62 PPG
→ New Hampshire (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.37 Developing D
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Tyler Barrow
Wilkes · 2016-17
1.385 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Donny Flynn
Wilkes · 2016-17
1.423 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Brandon Osmundson
Utica · 2017-18
1.448 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.