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Tommy Lafrenière Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2007-01-16 Country: Canada
2025 · Round 3, Pick #83  ·  Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2023-24 Kamloops Blazers WHL 9 2 2 4 0.444 0.2162 0.2343 1.0904 1.1818
2024-25 Kamloops Blazers WHL 68 24 32 56 0.824 0.4006 0.4128 2.0206 2.0820
2025-26 Kamloops Blazers WHL 67 41 36 77 1.149 0.5591 0.5502 2.8200 2.7751
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

10%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
2%
Age-Out / Club
88%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#5938
Forward overall
#91
Forward born in 2007
#167
in WHL

D1 Comparables

Nathan Walker
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.93 PPG
→ Marian (0.21 D1 FR PPG)
0.54 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Alex Iafallo
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.86 PPG
→ Minnesota Duluth (0.61 D1 FR PPG)
0.50 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Zeb Knutson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.82 PPG
→ Minnesota State (0.33 D1 FR PPG)
0.48 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Frank Vatrano
NTDP-U18 · 2012-13 · 0.80 PPG
→ UMass
0.55 No data
NCAAe PPG
C.J. Suess
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.95 PPG
→ Minnesota (0.76 D1 FR PPG)
0.56 Strong
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Geordan Buffoline
University of New England · 2017-18
1.667 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Joona Juntunen
Saint Mary's (MN) · 2023-24
0.826 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Conor Landrigan
Utica · 2016-17
1.038 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.