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Carl Axelsson Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Goalie DOB: 2006-11-21 Country: Sweden
2026 · Round 4, Pick #115  ·  Utah Mammoth
⚠️ Aging Out 2026-27: Turns 20 before Dec 31, 2026 — final eligible junior season.
Signed Professionally
SHL

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

Save % Equivalency
Goals Against Average
Base SV%
Year Adj
Source
Confidence

NCAA D3 / D2

Save % Equivalency
Goals Against Average
Base SV%
Year Adj
Source
Confidence
Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw SV%  ·  Solid blue = age-adj SVe%  ·  Green = actual college SV%
Goalie Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP W L SV% GAA SO SVe Factor Age-Adj SV%
2025-26 Muskegon Lumberjacks USHL 44 28 14 91.6% 2.48 2 0.9983 90.0%
2024-25 NAHL 19 14 4 93.7% 1.74 6 0.9843 97.0%
2024-25 Sioux Falls Stampede USHL 4 1 1 83.7% 4.95 0 0.9983 85.2%
2023-24 SHL 1.0100
2023-24 SuperElit 33 22 10 89.3% 3.12 2 0.9600 90.4%
2023-24 SHL-J20 33 22 10 89.3% 3.12 2 0.9600 90.4%
2022-23 SHL-J20 2 1 1 82.3% 5.50 0 0.9600 86.2%
SVe Factor = save% equivalency relative to NCAA D1 average  ·  COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
Goalie Comparables (D1)

Historical goalies with similar age-adjusted SVe profiles who went on to play NCAA D1.

Name Junior League Junior SV% Adj SVe College NCAA SV% NCAA GAA
Emmett Croteau USHL 91.7% 90.2% Clarkson 83.5% 3.53
Arsenii Sergeev USHL 91.8% 90.5% UConn 91.2% 2.61
Aiden Wright USHL 90.6% 88.7% Vermont 89.2% 3.10
Carson Cherepak MJHL 92.1% 89.2% RPI 89.6% 3.11
Nils Wallström NAHL 91.9% 91.6% American International 92.0% 2.27
Goalie Comparables (D2/D3)

Historical goalies with similar age-adjusted SVe profiles who went on to play NCAA D2/D3.

Name Junior League Junior SV% Adj SVe College Div SV% GAA
Brody Haynes NCDC 92.5% 92.3% Elmira D3 94.8% 1.22
Justin Damon USPHL-Premier 94.0% 91.2% Gustavus Adolphus D3 92.9% 2.27
Brayden Ingram EHL 91.2% 92.3% Assumption D2 91.4% 2.71
Nevin Tardif USPHL-Premier 90.4% 87.8% Worcester State D3 89.8% 3.54
Connor Carbo EHL 89.3% 89.2% Wentworth D3 92.3% 3.00

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.