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Matthew Minchak Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Goalie DOB: 2007-05-23 Country: USA
2026 · Round 6, Pick #191  ·  Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
Colgate
ECAC D1

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

Save % Equivalency
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Goals Against Average
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Base SV% —
Year Adj —
Source —
Confidence —

NCAA D3 / D2

Save % Equivalency
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Goals Against Average
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Base SV% —
Year Adj —
Source —
Confidence —
Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw SV%  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adj SVe%  ·  ■ Green = actual college SV%
Goalie Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP W L SV% GAA SO SVe Factor Age-Adj SV%
2026-27 Kingston Frontenacs OHL 5 2 3 84.8% 5.65 0 1.0008 84.9%
2025-26 Kingston Frontenacs OHL 30 12 12 91.0% 2.91 1 1.0008 91.1%
SVe Factor = save% equivalency relative to NCAA D1 average  ·  COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
Goalie Comparables (D1)

Historical goalies with similar age-adjusted SVe profiles who went on to play NCAA D1.

Name Junior League Junior SV% Adj SVe College NCAA SV% NCAA GAA
Simon Latkoczy USHL 88.7% 85.7% Nebraska Omaha 91.9% 2.32
Cameron Korpi USHL 89.2% 86.1% Michigan 90.4% 3.08
Jaxson Stauber USHL 88.3% 85.0% Minnesota 93.3% 1.00
Jarrett Fiske CCHL 90.9% 86.6% American International — —
Adam Gajan USHL 89.3% 86.0% Minnesota Duluth 88.5% 3.33
Goalie Comparables (D2/D3)

Historical goalies with similar age-adjusted SVe profiles who went on to play NCAA D2/D3.

Name Junior League Junior SV% Adj SVe College Div SV% GAA
Andrew Doran NA3HL 93.4% 87.0% Utica D3 100.0% —
Tyler Fromolz NA3HL 92.0% 86.3% Marian D3 88.3% 3.85
Jarret Bovarnick EHL 88.3% 87.5% Suffolk D3 87.2% 4.52
Cameron Kuntar NCDC 89.3% 89.1% Chatham D3 92.4% 2.62
Jackson Fellner SJHL 89.9% 86.4% Alvernia D3 92.4% 2.68

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.