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Michael Modelski Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Goalie DOB: 2005-11-07 Country: USA
Utica
UCHC D3

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

Save % Equivalency
Goals Against Average
Base SV%
Year Adj
Source
Confidence

NCAA D3 / D2

Save % Equivalency
Goals Against Average
Base SV%
Year Adj
Source
Confidence
Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw SV%  ·  Solid blue = age-adj SVe%  ·  Green = actual college SV%
Goalie Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP W L SV% GAA SO SVe Factor Age-Adj SV%
2025-26 El Paso Rhinos NAHL 31 21 6 93.9% 2.05 2 0.9843 90.4%
2024-25 NCDC 1 0 1 89.2% 4.00 0 0.9400 85.2%
2024-25 CCHL 35 21 13 92.2% 2.50 3 0.9700 89.6%
2023-24 NCDC 0.9400
2022-23 NAHL 0.9843
SVe Factor = save% equivalency relative to NCAA D1 average  ·  COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
Goalie Comparables (D1)

Historical goalies with similar age-adjusted SVe profiles who went on to play NCAA D1.

Name Junior League Junior SV% Adj SVe College NCAA SV% NCAA GAA
Carter McPhail NAHL 93.1% 89.6% Ferris State 88.6% 3.74
Tomas Anderson NAHL 93.7% 89.8% Niagara 89.0% 3.20
John Roberts NAHL 92.5% 89.0% Northern Michigan 100.0%
Callum Tung BCHL 91.7% 88.5% UConn 93.3% 2.01
Lassi Lehti NAHL 92.0% 88.7% Alaska Fairbanks 83.3% 5.56
Goalie Comparables (D2/D3)

Historical goalies with similar age-adjusted SVe profiles who went on to play NCAA D2/D3.

Name Junior League Junior SV% Adj SVe College Div SV% GAA
Andrew Albano OJHL 91.7% 89.9% Norwich D3 82.4% 3.00
Stefan Carney NCDC 93.3% 90.7% University of New England D3 92.6% 1.83
Devon Bobak NAHL 92.1% 91.1% Trinity D3 93.4% 1.41
Peter Sterling NAHL 90.7% 89.9% Endicott D3 93.3% 1.63
Ryan Henry NCDC 91.6% 89.5% Nichols D3 92.9% 2.39

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.