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Chase Clark Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Goalie DOB: 2002-04-08 Country: USA
2021 · Round 6, Pick #183  ·  Washington Capitals Washington Capitals
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NCAA Division I

Save % Equivalency
Goals Against Average
Base SV%
Year Adj
Source
Confidence

NCAA D3 / D2

Save % Equivalency
Goals Against Average
Base SV%
Year Adj
Source
Confidence
Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw SV%  ·  Solid blue = age-adj SVe%  ·  Green = actual college SV%
Goalie Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP W L SV% GAA SO SVe Factor Age-Adj SV%
2021-22 USHL 20 7 7 89.9% 3.20 1 0.9983 86.4%
2020-21 USHL 3 0 3 89.9% 3.03 0 0.9983 89.8%
2019-20 OJHL 24 12 8 90.0% 3.10 2 0.9700 87.3%
SVe Factor = save% equivalency relative to NCAA D1 average  ·  COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div GP W L SV% GAA SO
2025-26 Canisius D1 24 11 10 90.3% 2.73 1
2024-25 American International D1 25 9 14 91.3% 2.80 1
2023-24 Sacred Heart D1 19 8 10 89.8% 3.03 0
2022-23 Quinnipiac D1 8 0 0 84.0% 3.06 0
Goalie Comparables (D1)

Historical goalies with similar age-adjusted SVe profiles who went on to play NCAA D1.

Name Junior League Junior SV% Adj SVe College NCAA SV% NCAA GAA
Marcus Brännman USHL 90.3% 86.6% Providence 75.0% 4.01
Melvin Strahl USHL 90.3% 86.4% Michigan State 92.2% 2.27
Samuel Urban USHL 89.9% 86.4% Arizona State 90.4% 3.53
Axel Mangbo USHL 89.0% 85.4% Vermont 85.7% 5.00
Noah Grannan USHL 89.1% 85.8% Penn State 88.5% 3.40
Goalie Comparables (D2/D3)

Historical goalies with similar age-adjusted SVe profiles who went on to play NCAA D2/D3.

Name Junior League Junior SV% Adj SVe College Div SV% GAA
Jackson Fellner SJHL 89.9% 86.4% Alvernia D3 92.4% 2.68
Carson Ironside AJHL 87.8% 86.2% Albertus Magnus D3 89.3% 2.76
Chad Lowe USPHL-Premier 93.5% 88.6% SUNY Morrisville D3 90.2% 4.99
Chad Lowe USPHL-Premier 93.5% 88.6% Morrisville D3 90.2% 4.99
Cal Wilcox NCDC 89.6% 87.9% Suffolk D3 89.1% 4.18

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.