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Ethan Swanson Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Goalie DOB: 2003-08-08 Country: USA
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NCAA Division I

Save % Equivalency
Goals Against Average
Base SV%
Year Adj
Source
Confidence

NCAA D3 / D2

Save % Equivalency
Goals Against Average
Base SV%
Year Adj
Source
Confidence
Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw SV%  ·  Solid blue = age-adj SVe%  ·  Green = actual college SV%
Goalie Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP W L SV% GAA SO SVe Factor Age-Adj SV%
2022-23 USPHL-Elite 2 0 2 82.1% 6.00 0 0.9400 71.9%
2022-23 USPHL-Premier 6 3 2 89.6% 3.20 0 0.9400 83.8%
SVe Factor = save% equivalency relative to NCAA D1 average  ·  COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div GP W L SV% GAA SO
2025-26 Keene State D3 5 90.4% 3.26 0
2024-25 Keene State D3 4 1 1 92.7% 3.02 0
Goalie Comparables (D1)

Historical goalies with similar age-adjusted SVe profiles who went on to play NCAA D1.

Name Junior League Junior SV% Adj SVe College NCAA SV% NCAA GAA
Brayden Gillespie OHL 88.1% 83.2% Union 91.5% 2.19
Albin Boija SHL-J20 92.1% 83.5% Maine 91.6% 2.01
Max Weilandt USHL 88.7% 83.8% Northern Michigan 87.0% 3.43
Calvin Vachon USHL 89.6% 84.4% Alaska Fairbanks 89.7% 3.11
Mitch Gibson USHL 89.0% 83.9% Harvard 91.6% 2.61
Goalie Comparables (D2/D3)

Historical goalies with similar age-adjusted SVe profiles who went on to play NCAA D2/D3.

Name Junior League Junior SV% Adj SVe College Div SV% GAA
Tyler Fromolz NA3HL 92.0% 87.1% Marian D3 88.3% 3.85
Zach Dosan NA3HL 92.1% 87.8% Gustavus Adolphus D3 72.5% 6.60
Ryan Kenny USPHL-Premier 93.5% 89.3% Stevenson D3 89.6% 2.95
Brandon Shantz NA3HL 89.7% 82.6% Plymouth State D3 92.1% 3.00
Jarret Bovarnick EHL 88.3% 87.8% Suffolk D3 87.2% 4.52

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.