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Phil Kessel Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 1987-10-02 Country: USA
2006 · Round 1, Pick #5  ·  Boston Bruins Boston Bruins
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2003-04 USNTDP Juniors NAHL 30 21 12 33 1.100 0.4041 0.4627 1.1611 1.3295
2004-05 U.S. National U18 Team NTDP-U18 41 41 32 73 1.780 1.3234 1.3142 6.6438 6.5974
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2005-06 Minnesota D1 BigTen FR 39 18 33 51 1.308
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.97
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
1.31
2005-06 · Minnesota
+35.0% vs. projection

NCAAe Rankings

#1679
Forward overall
#59
Forward born in 1987

D1 Comparables

Vinni Lettieri
NTDP-U18 · 2012-13 · 2.00 PPG
→ Minnesota (0.22 D1 FR PPG)
1.43 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Arkhip Ledenkov
St. Scholastica · 2018-19
1.636 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Neil Trimm
Neumann · 2003-04
1.800 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Filimon Ledenkov
St. Scholastica · 2018-19
1.636 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.