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Ryan Stoa Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 1987-04-13 Country: USA
2005 · Round 2, Pick #34  ·  Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
Signed Professionally
Nürnberg Ice Tigers · DEL

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2003-04 USNTDP Juniors NAHL 42 10 12 22 0.524 0.1924 0.2158 0.5529 0.6201
2004-05 U.S. National U18 Team NTDP-U18 23 4 11 15 0.652 0.4848 0.4700 2.4336 2.3593
2014-15 Metallurg Novokuznetsk KHL 60 15 15 30 0.500 1.2500 1.2332 6.8894 6.7968
2015-16 — KHL 53 18 11 29 0.547 1.3680 1.2575 7.5397 6.9304
2016-17 Spartak Moskva KHL 57 22 14 36 0.632 1.5790 1.3854 8.7026 7.6356
2017-18 Spartak Moskva KHL 53 15 15 30 0.566 1.4150 1.1810 7.7987 6.5089
2018-19 Traktor Chelyabinsk KHL 59 11 16 27 0.458 1.1440 0.9042 6.3051 4.9832
2019-20 Örebro HK SHL 52 19 18 37 0.712 1.7788 1.7788 9.2841 9.2841
2020-21 — SHL 24 3 5 8 0.333 0.8332 0.8332 4.3491 4.3491
2021-22 Nürnberg Ice Tigers DEL 46 15 18 33 0.717 1.7935 1.2194 6.0823 4.1352
2022-23 Nürnberg Ice Tigers DEL 32 14 4 18 0.562 1.4062 0.9147 4.7690 3.1022
2023-24 Nürnberg Ice Tigers DEL 52 17 13 30 0.577 1.4423 0.8642 4.8911 2.9307
2024-25 Nürnberg Ice Tigers DEL 52 12 15 27 0.519 1.2980 0.7181 4.4019 2.4354
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2008-09 Minnesota D1 BigTen JR 36 24 22 46 1.278
2007-08 Minnesota D1 BigTen JR 2 1 1 2 1.000
2006-07 Minnesota D1 BigTen SO 41 12 12 24 0.585
2005-06 Minnesota D1 BigTen FR 41 10 15 25 0.610
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.32
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.61
2005-06 · Minnesota
+93.4% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

8%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
92%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#4049
Forward overall
#156
Forward born in 1987

D2/3 Comparables

Tim Coffman
Utica · 2023-24
1.480 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Jason Kalinowski
Endicott · 2015-16
1.310 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Jason Yuel
Curry · 2006-07
1.769 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.