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Michael Downing Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Defense DOB: 1995-05-19 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2011-12 Dubuque Fighting Saints USHL 54 4 10 14 0.259 0.1651 0.1821 0.7770 0.8570
2012-13 Dubuque Fighting Saints USHL 52 3 20 23 0.442 0.2817 0.2957 1.3254 1.3913
Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2015-16 Michigan D1 BigTen JR 35 3 17 20 0.571
2014-15 Michigan D1 BigTen SO 36 6 16 22 0.611
2013-14 Michigan D1 BigTen FR 34 2 10 12 0.353
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.24
before college
Actual FR PPG
0.35
2013-14 · Michigan
+49.4% vs. projection

NCAAe Rankings

#2870
Defenseman overall
#600
Defenseman born in 1995
#2411
in USHL

D1 Comparables

USHL · 2012-13 · 0.48 PPG
→ Notre Dame (0.67 D1 FR PPG)
0.32 Elite D
NCAAe PPG
NTDP-U18 · 2012-13 · 0.35 PPG
→ Quinnipiac (0.25 D1 FR PPG)
0.27 Average D
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.54 PPG
→ Minnesota (0.50 D1 FR PPG)
0.36 Elite D
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.43 PPG
→ Northern Michigan (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.29 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.33 PPG
→ St. Cloud State (0.63 D1 FR PPG)
0.22 Elite D
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Fitchburg State · 2024-25
0.700 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Adrian · 2011-12
1.357 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Amherst · 2018-19
0.692 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.