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Jake Ryczek Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Defense DOB: 1998-03-19 Country: USA
2016 · Round 7, Pick #203  ·  Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2014-15 Sioux City Musketeers USHL 55 6 12 18 0.327 0.1931 0.2115 0.9830 1.0768
2015-16 USHL 47 7 27 34 0.723 0.4267 0.4476 2.1727 2.2792
2016-17 Waterloo Black Hawks USHL 50 8 21 29 0.580 0.3421 0.3414 1.7420 1.7385
2017-18 Halifax Mooseheads QMJHL 33 7 20 27 0.818 0.4020 0.3800 2.1848 2.0654
2018-19 Halifax Mooseheads QMJHL 51 9 24 33 0.647 0.3179 0.2851 1.7280 1.5497
Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2017-18 Providence D1 HockeyEast FR 5 1 0 1 0.200
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.36
before college
Actual FR PPG
0.20
2017-18 · Providence
-44.8% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

50%
NCAA D1
8%
NCAA D2/D3
35%
Age-Out / Club
8%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#2365
Defenseman overall
#534
Defenseman born in 1998

D1 Comparables

QMJHL · 2012-13 · 0.37 PPG
→ Brown (0.04 D1 FR PPG)
0.16 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.33 PPG
→ American International (0.12 D1 FR PPG)
0.18 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.45 PPG
→ Ohio State (0.50 D1 FR PPG)
0.24 Elite D
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.79 PPG
→ North Dakota (0.51 D1 FR PPG)
0.43 Elite D
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.41 PPG
→ Bowling Green
0.22 No data
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

SUNY Oswego · 2004-05
0.926 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Saint Anselm · 2002-03
1.375 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Adrian · 2018-19
1.103 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.