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Justin Dixson Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 1998-05-06 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2014-15 U.S. National U17 Team NTDP-U18 2 0 0 0 0.000 — — — —
2015-16 Tri-City Storm USHL 37 0 6 6 0.162 0.0997 0.1052 0.4779 0.5045
2016-17 Tri-City Storm USHL 5 0 1 1 0.200 0.1229 0.1235 0.5892 0.5919
2017-18 — NCDC 45 6 15 21 0.467 0.2602 0.2583 0.3774 0.3746
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2020-21 New England D1 — JR 4 0 5 5 1.250
2020-21 New England D3 — JR 4 0 5 5 1.250
2019-20 New England D1 — SO 22 4 12 16 0.727
2019-20 New England D3 — SO 22 4 12 16 0.727
2018-19 New England D1 — FR 29 3 12 15 0.517
2018-19 New England D3 — FR 29 3 12 15 0.517
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.17
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.52
2018-19 · New England
+195.7% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

5%
NCAA D2/D3
0%
Club / ACHA
80%
Other

NCAAe Rankings

#30109
Forward overall
#1496
Forward born in 1998

D1 Comparables

Tommy Schutt
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.37 PPG
→ Quinnipiac (0.28 D1 FR PPG)
0.22 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Tanner Pond
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.39 PPG
→ Northeastern (0.11 D1 FR PPG)
0.23 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Evan Janssen
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.45 PPG
→ Denver (0.14 D1 FR PPG)
0.26 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Alfred Larsson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.39 PPG
→ Merrimack (0.20 D1 FR PPG)
0.23 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Gage Hough
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.39 PPG
→ UMass Lowell (0.12 D1 FR PPG)
0.23 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Ethan Finlason
UMass Dartmouth · 2021-22
0.500 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Nikita Sobolev
New England College · 2023-24
0.000 No data
actual D2/3 PPG
Blake Gutterman
Finlandia · 2018-19
0.625 Average
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.