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Jackson Cates Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 1997-09-28 Country: USA
Signed Professionally

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2014-15 Stillwater High USHS-MN 25 23 18 41 1.640 0.2076 0.2030 0.3984 0.3897
2016-17 Waterloo Black Hawks USHL 56 11 10 21 0.375 0.2212 0.2155 1.1263 1.0975
2017-18 Waterloo Black Hawks USHL 57 33 30 63 1.105 0.6520 0.6030 3.3197 3.0701
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2020-21 Minnesota Duluth D1 NCHC JR 28 11 16 27 0.964
2019-20 Minnesota Duluth D1 NCHC SO 29 8 15 23 0.793
2018-19 Minnesota Duluth D1 NCHC FR 39 8 6 14 0.359
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.38
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.36
2018-19 · Minnesota Duluth
-6.4% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

88%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
10%
Age-Out / Club
2%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

D1 Comparables

Kyle Novak
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.20 PPG
→ Western Michigan (0.19 D1 FR PPG)
0.65 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Mike Szmatula
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.21 PPG
→ Northeastern (1.05 D1 FR PPG)
0.65 Elite
NCAAe PPG
Tim Bonner
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.89 PPG
→ Yale
0.48 No data
NCAAe PPG
Michael Huntebrinker
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.91 PPG
→ Minnesota State (0.15 D1 FR PPG)
0.49 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Brandon Wahlin
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.33 PPG
→ UMass (0.13 D1 FR PPG)
0.46 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Gus Katsuras
Hamilton · 2001-02
1.400 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Brandon Osmundson
Utica · 2018-19
1.448 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Ryan Ellis
SUNY Oswego · 2002-03
1.704 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.