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Erik Middendorf Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2000-07-11 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2016-17 — NTDP-U18 52 6 12 18 0.346 0.2573 0.2665 1.2982 1.3444
2017-18 — NTDP-U18 64 17 16 33 0.516 0.3832 0.3774 1.9334 1.9040
2019-20 Chicago Steel USHL 32 12 12 24 0.750 0.4424 0.4424 2.2505 2.2505
2020-21 Chicago Steel USHL 53 32 36 68 1.283 0.7568 0.7568 3.8499 3.8499
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2022-23 Michigan State D1 BigTen — 37 7 9 16 0.432
2021-22 Michigan State D1 BigTen — 36 12 8 20 0.556
2019-20 Colorado College D1 NCHC — 6 0 2 2 0.333
2018-19 Colorado College D1 NCHC — 41 7 4 11 0.268
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.29
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.27
2018-19 · Colorado College
-5.9% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

65%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
35%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#4235
Forward overall
#175
Forward born in 2000

D1 Comparables

Hudson Fasching
NTDP-U18 · 2012-13 · 0.53 PPG
→ Minnesota (0.75 D1 FR PPG)
0.39 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Avery Peterson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.50 PPG
→ Nebraska Omaha (0.54 D1 FR PPG)
0.31 Average
NCAAe PPG
Ryan Galt
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.46 PPG
→ Nebraska Omaha (0.29 D1 FR PPG)
0.29 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Jack Jenkins
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.42 PPG
→ Notre Dame (0.14 D1 FR PPG)
0.26 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Matthew Weis
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.71 PPG
→ Ohio State (0.67 D1 FR PPG)
0.44 Strong
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Zach Tarantino
UMass Dartmouth · 2017-18
0.667 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Brycon Johnson
Bryn Athyn · 2014-15
0.778 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Donny Flynn
Wilkes · 2015-16
1.423 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.