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Larry Willard Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 1986-03-14 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2004-05 Helena Bighorns NAHL 56 11 19 30 0.536 0.1903 0.1936 0.5624 0.5723
2005-06 Helena Bighorns NAHL 58 15 27 42 0.724 0.2572 0.2490 0.7602 0.7359
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2010-11 Elmira D3 — SR 7 0 0 0 0.000
2009-10 Elmira D3 — JR 21 5 6 11 0.524
2008-09 Elmira D3 — SO 17 4 5 9 0.529
2007-08 Elmira D3 — FR 29 2 6 8 0.276
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.19
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.28
2007-08 · Elmira
+42.1% vs. projection

NCAAe Rankings

#20365
Forward overall
#676
Forward born in 1986
#1335
in NAHL

D1 Comparables

Evan Janssen
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.45 PPG
→ Denver (0.14 D1 FR PPG)
0.25 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Eric Freschi
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.51 PPG
→ Cornell (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.28 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Gage Hough
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.39 PPG
→ UMass Lowell (0.12 D1 FR PPG)
0.22 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Alexander Dahl
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.38 PPG
→ St. Lawrence (0.30 D1 FR PPG)
0.21 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Devin Loe
NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.85 PPG
→ Miami (0.71 D1 FR PPG)
0.30 Strong
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Dalton Jay
Westfield State · 2010-11
0.800 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Caleb Serre
Wisconsin-Stout · 2018-19
0.600 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Sean Farley
Utica · 2006-07
0.571 Average
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.