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Michael Mancinelli Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2001-06-28 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2017-18 Madison Capitols USHL 57 17 18 35 0.614 0.3622 0.4028 1.8424 2.0491
2018-19 — USHL 58 13 17 30 0.517 0.3051 0.3236 1.5520 1.6461
2019-20 Des Moines Buccaneers USHL 45 16 10 26 0.578 0.3408 0.3408 1.7338 1.7338
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2022-23 Maine D1 HockeyEast — 30 1 10 11 0.367
2021-22 Arizona State D1 NCHC SO 30 2 10 12 0.400
2020-21 Arizona State D1 NCHC FR 26 6 4 10 0.385
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.30
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.38
2020-21 · Arizona State
+26.5% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

75%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
25%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#12447
Forward overall
#591
Forward born in 2001
#1289
in USHL

D1 Comparables

Avery Peterson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.50 PPG
→ Nebraska Omaha (0.54 D1 FR PPG)
0.31 Average
NCAAe PPG
Jack Jenkins
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.42 PPG
→ Notre Dame (0.14 D1 FR PPG)
0.26 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Hudson Fasching
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.44 PPG
→ Minnesota (0.75 D1 FR PPG)
0.27 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Frederik Tiffels
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.50 PPG
→ Western Michigan (0.66 D1 FR PPG)
0.31 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Mike Marnell
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.49 PPG
→ St. Lawrence (0.53 D1 FR PPG)
0.30 Average
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Chris Atkinson
Curry · 2005-06
0.962 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Caden Smith
Chatham · 2019-20
1.292 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Geordan Buffoline
University of New England · 2017-18
1.667 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.