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Ryder Rolston Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2001-10-31 Country: USA
2020 NHL Draft Round 5, Pick #139  ·  Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
Signed Professionally

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2017-18 — NTDP-U18 53 26 14 40 0.755 0.5610 0.5891 2.8089 2.9496
2018-19 — NTDP-U18 63 24 16 40 0.635 0.4719 0.4715 2.3630 2.3609
2019-20 — USHL 42 16 17 33 0.786 0.4635 0.4635 2.3148 2.3148
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2022-23 Notre Dame D1 BigTen JR 27 7 13 20 0.741
2021-22 Notre Dame D1 BigTen SO 38 10 17 27 0.711
2020-21 Notre Dame D1 BigTen FR 28 1 5 6 0.214
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.48
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.21
2020-21 · Notre Dame
-55.6% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

82%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
18%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

D1 Comparables

Connor Hurley
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.73 PPG
→ Notre Dame (0.34 D1 FR PPG)
0.46 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Karson Kuhlman
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.56 PPG
→ Minnesota Duluth (0.45 D1 FR PPG)
0.35 Average
NCAAe PPG
Patrick Newell
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.75 PPG
→ St. Cloud State (0.59 D1 FR PPG)
0.48 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Hudson Fasching
NTDP-U18 · 2012-13 · 0.53 PPG
→ Minnesota (0.75 D1 FR PPG)
0.39 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Austin Poganski
NTDP-U18 · 2012-13 · 0.64 PPG
→ North Dakota (0.37 D1 FR PPG)
0.48 Average
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Joseph Fiorino
Southern New Hampshire · 2016-17
0.593 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Ryan Reifler
Elmira · 2016-17
1.067 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Nick Ford
Elmira · 2014-15
0.800 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.