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Case McCarthy Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Defense DOB: 2001-01-09 Country: USA
2019 NHL Draft Round 4, Pick #118  ·  New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2016-17 Buffalo Jr. Sabres OJHL 5 0 2 2 0.400 0.1202 0.1376 0.2738 0.3135
2017-18 U.S. National U17 Team NTDP-U18 41 4 14 18 0.439 0.3404 0.3437 1.6339 1.6497
2018-19 U.S. National U18 Team NTDP-U18 62 5 24 29 0.468 0.3627 0.3477 1.7407 1.6688
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2023-24 Boston University D1 HockeyEast SR 39 4 5 9 0.231
2022-23 Boston University D1 HockeyEast JR 35 3 12 15 0.429
2021-22 Boston University D1 HockeyEast SO 26 5 9 14 0.538
2020-21 Boston University D1 HockeyEast — 12 1 1 2 0.167
2019-20 Boston University D1 HockeyEast — 32 2 10 12 0.375
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.33
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.38
2019-20 · Boston University
+14.8% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

70%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
30%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#3381
Defenseman overall
#776
Defenseman born in 2001

D1 Comparables

Will Butcher
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.50 PPG
→ Denver (0.42 D1 FR PPG)
0.32 Strong D
NCAAe PPG
Clark Kuster
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.47 PPG
→ St. Cloud State
0.30 No data
NCAAe PPG
Gustav Olofsson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.37 PPG
→ Colorado College (0.27 D1 FR PPG)
0.23 Average D
NCAAe PPG
Jack Stander
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.33 PPG
→ Canisius (0.17 D1 FR PPG)
0.21 Average D
NCAAe PPG
Ruslan Pedan
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.33 PPG
→ Bemidji State (0.34 D1 FR PPG)
0.21 Strong D
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Geordan Buffoline
New England · 2017-18
1.667 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Bud Winter
Saint Mary's (MN) · 2017-18
1.091 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
John Moncovich
Utica · 2016-17
0.864 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.