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Josh Lopina Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2001-02-16 Country: USA
2021 NHL Draft Round 4, Pick #98  ·  Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
Signed Professionally

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2018-19 Lincoln Stars USHL 62 12 15 27 0.435 0.2677 0.2791 1.2831 1.3377
2019-20 Lincoln Stars USHL 44 12 23 35 0.795 0.4890 0.4890 2.3437 2.3437
Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2021-22 UMass D1 HockeyEast 27 12 15 27 1.000
2021-22 UMass Lowell D1 HockeyEast 27 12 15 27 1.000
2020-21 UMass D1 HockeyEast FR 29 9 14 23 0.793
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.24
before college
Actual FR PPG
0.79
2020-21 · UMass
+232.0% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

65%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
35%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

D1 Comparables

USHL · 2012-13 · 0.39 PPG
→ Providence (0.25 D1 FR PPG)
0.25 Developing
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.33 PPG
→ Notre Dame (0.29 D1 FR PPG)
0.21 Developing
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.48 PPG
→ RPI (0.56 D1 FR PPG)
0.30 Strong
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.29 PPG
→ Michigan
0.19 No data
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.29 PPG
→ Miami (0.13 D1 FR PPG)
0.18 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

St. Scholastica · 2014-15
0.615 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Amherst · 2018-19
0.692 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Marian · 2000-01
1.074 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.