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Colby Ambrosio Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2002-08-07 Country: Canada
2020 · Round 4, Pick #118  ·  Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2018-19 Tri-City Storm USHL 57 12 12 24 0.421 0.2484 0.2772 1.2647 1.4114
2019-20 Tri-City Storm USHL 48 26 24 50 1.042 0.6145 0.6145 3.1286 3.1286
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2024-25 Miami D1 NCHC — 34 7 13 20 0.588
2023-24 Boston College D1 HockeyEast JR 40 2 6 8 0.200
2022-23 Boston College D1 HockeyEast SO 36 10 11 21 0.583
2021-22 Boston College D1 HockeyEast FR 38 9 13 22 0.579
2020-21 Boston College D1 HockeyEast — 24 7 8 15 0.625
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.24
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.62
2020-21 · Boston College
+163.4% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

38%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
62%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#6199
Forward overall
#283
Forward born in 2002
#388
in USHL

D1 Comparables

Anders Bjork
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.39 PPG
→ Notre Dame (0.54 D1 FR PPG)
0.26 Average
NCAAe PPG
Dylan Larkin
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.38 PPG
→ Michigan (1.34 D1 FR PPG)
0.25 Elite
NCAAe PPG
Dylan Gambrell
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.47 PPG
→ Denver (1.15 D1 FR PPG)
0.31 Elite
NCAAe PPG
Nolan Stevens
NTDP-U18 · 2012-13 · 0.31 PPG
→ Northeastern (0.33 D1 FR PPG)
0.24 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Chris Wilkie
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.37 PPG
→ North Dakota (0.28 D1 FR PPG)
0.24 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Connor Armour
Adrian · 2011-12
1.357 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Joshua Burke
Amherst · 2018-19
0.692 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Erik Caron
St. Michael's College · 2001-02
1.280 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.