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Luke Posner Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 1999-06-25 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2014-15 Mahtomedi High USHS-MN 17 0 2 2 0.118 0.0149 0.0159 0.0286 0.0305
2017-18 Kenai River Brown Bears NAHL 56 5 22 27 0.482 0.1771 0.1847 0.5089 0.5307
2018-19 Maryland Black Bears NAHL 35 7 4 11 0.314 0.1155 0.1153 0.3317 0.3311
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2023-24 Bethel D3 MIAC GR 22 3 4 7 0.318
2022-23 Bethel D3 MIAC SR 22 3 6 9 0.409
2021-22 Bethel D3 MIAC JR 25 8 9 17 0.680
2020-21 Bethel D1 MIAC SO 5 3 3 6 1.200
2020-21 Bethel D3 MIAC SO 5 3 3 6 1.200
2019-20 Bethel D1 MIAC FR 12 6 2 8 0.667
2019-20 Bethel D3 MIAC FR 12 6 2 8 0.667
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.12
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.67
2019-20 · Bethel
+444.2% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

40%
NCAA D1
10%
NCAA D2/D3
12%
Age-Out / Club
38%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#41399
Forward overall
#2333
Forward born in 1999

D1 Comparables

Ben Greiner
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.17 PPG
→ Bowling Green (0.38 D1 FR PPG)
0.10 Average
NCAAe PPG
Josh Erickson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.21 PPG
→ Alaska Fairbanks (0.14 D1 FR PPG)
0.12 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Tyler Spezia
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.26 PPG
→ Bowling Green (0.25 D1 FR PPG)
0.15 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Zach Saar
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.33 PPG
→ Penn State (0.33 D1 FR PPG)
0.19 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Matt Pohlkamp
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.33 PPG
→ Bowling Green (0.41 D1 FR PPG)
0.19 Average
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Michael Gallagher
Suffolk · 2022-23
0.000 No data
actual D2/3 PPG
Kyle Anderson
Wesleyan · 2018-19
0.000 No data
actual D2/3 PPG
Pat Deitz
Concordia · 2007-08
0.680 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.