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Daniel Russell Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2001-11-16 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2018-19 Fargo Force USHL 33 2 5 7 0.212 0.1251 0.1351 0.6370 0.6879
2019-20 Minot Minotauros NAHL 44 21 13 34 0.773 0.2839 0.2839 0.8156 0.8156
2020-21 Sioux Falls Stampede USHL 54 14 19 33 0.611 0.3605 0.3605 1.8354 1.8354
2021-22 Sioux Falls Stampede USHL 61 21 23 44 0.721 0.4255 0.3954 2.1664 2.0133
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Michigan State D1 BigTen SR 37 11 28 39 1.054
2024-25 Michigan State D1 BigTen JR 37 13 12 25 0.676
2023-24 Michigan State D1 BigTen SO 38 13 12 25 0.658
2022-23 Michigan State D1 BigTen — 38 8 22 30 0.789
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.25
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.79
2022-23 · Michigan State
+216.5% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

85%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
12%
Age-Out / Club
2%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#9659
Forward overall
#424
Forward born in 2001
#807
in USHL

D1 Comparables

Joseph-Matthew Manno
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.63 PPG
→ Northeastern (0.22 D1 FR PPG)
0.34 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Gerald Mayhew
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.75 PPG
→ Ferris State (0.56 D1 FR PPG)
0.41 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Sean Gaffney
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.14 PPG
→ UConn (0.18 D1 FR PPG)
0.40 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Emil Romig
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.00 PPG
→ Denver (0.31 D1 FR PPG)
0.35 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Tyler Deresky
NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.79 PPG
→ Bentley (0.19 D1 FR PPG)
0.28 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Ryan Woodward
SUNY Oswego · 2001-02
1.226 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Tyler Barrow
Wilkes · 2017-18
1.385 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Neil Trimm
Neumann · 2002-03
1.800 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.