IcePath icepath.io · Hockey Analytics
← New Search ↗ Social Card

Nate Hanley Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2002-05-30 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2018-19 Cedar Rapids RoughRiders USHL 27 2 3 5 0.185 0.1092 0.1208 0.5562 0.6155
2019-20 Cedar Rapids RoughRiders USHL 46 10 15 25 0.543 0.3206 0.3206 1.6323 1.6323
2020-21 — USHL 36 4 2 6 0.167 0.0983 0.0983 0.5007 0.5007
2021-22 Cedar Rapids RoughRiders USHL 53 9 18 27 0.509 0.3005 0.2873 1.5299 1.4626
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Union D1 ECAC SR 36 6 16 22 0.611
2024-25 Union D1 ECAC JR 35 10 18 28 0.800
2023-24 Union D1 ECAC SO 37 4 22 26 0.703
2022-23 Union D1 ECAC FR 35 5 16 21 0.600
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.19
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.60
2022-23 · Union
+217.6% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

82%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
8%
Age-Out / Club
10%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#21330
Forward overall
#1153
Forward born in 2002
#2090
in USHL

D1 Comparables

Luc Gerdes
NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.80 PPG
→ Colorado College (0.25 D1 FR PPG)
0.29 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Brett Skibba
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.50 PPG
→ UConn (0.23 D1 FR PPG)
0.28 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Garret Clemment
NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.93 PPG
→ Lake Superior State (0.43 D1 FR PPG)
0.34 Average
NCAAe PPG
Tanner Pond
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.39 PPG
→ Northeastern (0.11 D1 FR PPG)
0.22 Developing
NCAAe PPG
John Simonson
NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.97 PPG
→ North Dakota (0.23 D1 FR PPG)
0.35 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Jason Cassells
Elmira · 2000-01
0.955 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Lucas Michaud
Trinity · 2016-17
0.893 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Sean Tyrie
Worcester State · 2023-24
0.800 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.