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Jake Black Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2002-03-05 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2018-19 Winchendon NE-Prep 28 8 2 10 0.357 0.1007 0.1007 0.1634 0.1634
2019-20 Winchendon NE-Prep 26 12 16 28 1.077 0.3038 0.3038 0.4928 0.4928
2020-21 Islanders Hockey Club NCDC 27 12 13 25 0.926 0.5163 0.5163 0.7487 0.7487
2021-22 Johnstown Tomahawks NAHL 60 41 38 79 1.317 0.5217 0.5139 1.3824 1.3616
Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Bentley D1 AHA SR 40 19 22 41 1.025
2024-25 Bentley D1 AHA 22 4 3 7 0.318
2023-24 UConn D1 HockeyEast 24 2 2 4 0.167
2022-23 UConn D1 HockeyEast 9 1 1 2 0.222
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.37
before college
Actual FR PPG
0.22
2022-23 · UConn
-39.6% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

38%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
32%
Age-Out / Club
28%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#6228
Forward overall
#284
Forward born in 2002

D1 Comparables

USHL · 2012-13 · 0.95 PPG
→ Union (0.89 D1 FR PPG)
0.55 Elite
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.79 PPG
→ Ferris State (0.48 D1 FR PPG)
0.46 Average
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.90 PPG
→ Northern Michigan (0.45 D1 FR PPG)
0.52 Average
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.77 PPG
→ Bemidji State (0.31 D1 FR PPG)
0.45 Developing
NCAAe PPG
OHL · 2012-13 · 0.88 PPG
→ Miami (0.46 D1 FR PPG)
0.49 Average
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Wisconsin-Stevens Point · 2023-24
0.800 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
SUNY Geneseo · 2015-16
1.074 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Becker · 2006-07
1.000 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.