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Jackson Lucia Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Defense DOB: 2003-01-28 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2019-20 Hermantown USHS-MN 30 3 13 16 0.533 0.0657 0.0657 0.1295 0.1295
2021-22 — NAHL 12 1 1 2 0.167 0.0592 0.0610 0.1758 0.1811
2022-23 WB/Scranton Knights NCDC 40 3 6 9 0.225 0.0520 0.0512 0.1813 0.1785
2023-24 Provo Predators NCDC 50 5 30 35 0.700 0.1618 0.1501 0.5641 0.5234
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Concordia D3 MIAC — 22 1 5 6 0.273
2024-25 Concordia D3 MIAC — 27 1 8 9 0.333
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.10
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.33
2024-25 · Concordia
+219.6% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

38%
NCAA D2/D3
0%
Club / ACHA
0%
Other

NCAAe Rankings

#5191
Defenseman overall
#1279
Defenseman born in 2003

D1 Comparables

Michael Holland
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.18 PPG
→ RIT (0.05 D1 FR PPG)
0.09 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Carter Foguth
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.08 PPG
→ Minnesota State (0.06 D1 FR PPG)
0.04 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Marc-Antoine Carrier
QMJHL · 2012-13 · 0.37 PPG
→ Brown (0.04 D1 FR PPG)
0.16 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Dominic Racobaldo
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.33 PPG
→ American International (0.12 D1 FR PPG)
0.18 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Brandon Carlson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.24 PPG
→ Alabama-Huntsville (0.11 D1 FR PPG)
0.13 Developing D
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Keegan Bruce
St. Scholastica · 2011-12
0.400 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Philip Elgstam
Norwich · 2018-19
0.409 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Wiggle Kerbrat
Wesleyan · 2018-19
0.320 Developing
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.