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Wyatt Carlson Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2004-10-30 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2019-20 Wayzata USHS-MN 19 0 2 2 0.105 0.0283 0.0283 0.0256 0.0256
2020-21 Wayzata USHS-MN 20 1 1 2 0.100 0.0269 0.0269 0.0243 0.0243
2021-22 Hermantown USHS-MN 31 18 14 32 1.032 0.2779 0.2779 0.2507 0.2507
2022-23 Minnesota Wilderness NAHL 3 0 0 0 0.000 — — — —
2023-24 Fairbanks Ice Dogs NAHL 52 14 13 27 0.519 0.1928 0.1968 0.5497 0.5612
2024-25 Fairbanks Ice Dogs NAHL 57 16 29 45 0.789 0.2931 0.2838 0.8359 0.8095
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Wisconsin-Eau Claire D3 WIAC FR 7 0 0 0 0.000

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

18%
NCAA D1
32%
NCAA D2/D3
50%
Age-Out / Club
0%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#13855
Forward overall
#639
Forward born in 2004

D1 Comparables

Ryan Doucet
NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.73 PPG
→ Air Force (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.26 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Tyler Deresky
NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.79 PPG
→ Bentley (0.19 D1 FR PPG)
0.28 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Ian Miller
NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.57 PPG
→ Lake Superior State (0.30 D1 FR PPG)
0.20 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Emil Romig
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.00 PPG
→ Denver (0.31 D1 FR PPG)
0.35 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Max Birkinbine
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.46 PPG
→ Air Force (0.14 D1 FR PPG)
0.27 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Anthony Pickering
Concordia Wisconsin · 2013-14
0.809 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Brian Arrigoni
Hamline · 2007-08
1.036 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Buster Larsson
Utica · 2018-19
0.679 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.