IcePath icepath.io · Hockey Analytics
← New Search ↗ Social Card

Tyler Dunbar Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Defense DOB: 2003-12-18 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2018-19 Soo Thunderbirds NOJHL 2 0 1 1 0.500 0.0835 0.1004 0.2082 0.2503
2019-20 Muskegon Lumberjacks USHL 26 2 10 12 0.462 0.2722 0.2722 1.3861 1.3861
2020-21 Muskegon Lumberjacks USHL 53 3 6 9 0.170 0.1002 0.1002 0.5100 0.5100
2021-22 Muskegon Lumberjacks USHL 61 4 21 25 0.410 0.2417 0.2498 1.2308 1.2722
2022-23 — USHL 63 5 26 31 0.492 0.2903 0.2850 1.4780 1.4509
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Union D1 ECAC JR 37 12 20 32 0.865
2024-25 Colorado College D1 NCHC — 14 0 1 1 0.071
2023-24 Colorado College D1 NCHC — 17 1 0 1 0.059
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.26
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.06
2023-24 · Colorado College
-77.0% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

92%
NCAA D1
2%
NCAA D2/D3
5%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#4890
Defenseman overall
#1204
Defenseman born in 2003

D1 Comparables

Nelson Armstrong
OHL · 2012-13 · 0.52 PPG
→ St. Lawrence (0.19 D1 FR PPG)
0.29 Average D
NCAAe PPG
Dakota Mermis
OHL · 2012-13 · 0.41 PPG
→ Denver (0.21 D1 FR PPG)
0.23 Average D
NCAAe PPG
Nolan Gluchowski
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.40 PPG
→ St. Lawrence (0.55 D1 FR PPG)
0.23 Elite D
NCAAe PPG
Ryan Lowney
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.65 PPG
→ Ferris State (0.35 D1 FR PPG)
0.37 Strong D
NCAAe PPG
Matias Cleland
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.62 PPG
→ New Hampshire (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.36 Developing D
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Michel Bond
SUNY Geneseo · 2000-01
1.083 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Neil Trimm
Neumann · 2001-02
1.800 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Myles Abbate
Plymouth State · 2018-19
1.037 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.