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Connor McGinnis Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Defense DOB: 1999-06-26 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2016-17 Minot Minotauros NAHL 4 0 0 0 0.000 — — — —
2017-18 Minot Minotauros NAHL 52 2 7 9 0.173 0.0636 0.0663 0.1827 0.1906
2018-19 Minot Minotauros NAHL 59 3 22 25 0.424 0.1557 0.1554 0.4472 0.4464
2019-20 — USHL 30 1 2 3 0.100 0.0590 0.0590 0.3003 0.3003
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2023-24 Amherst D3 NESCAC — 21 0 3 3 0.143
2022-23 Amherst D3 NESCAC — 17 0 1 1 0.059
2021-22 Amherst D3 NESCAC — 24 2 6 8 0.333
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.11
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.33
2021-22 · Amherst
+194.7% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

50%
NCAA D1
8%
NCAA D2/D3
25%
Age-Out / Club
18%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#17415
Defenseman overall
#2756
Defenseman born in 1999

D1 Comparables

James Roll
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.22 PPG
→ Lake Superior State (0.30 D1 FR PPG)
0.12 Average D
NCAAe PPG
Tucker Poolman
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.44 PPG
→ North Dakota (0.45 D1 FR PPG)
0.25 Strong D
NCAAe PPG
Dan Molenaar
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.24 PPG
→ Minnesota Duluth (0.18 D1 FR PPG)
0.13 Average D
NCAAe PPG
Christian Neumann
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.29 PPG
→ UConn (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.16 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Christopher Dienes
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.45 PPG
→ Western Michigan (0.15 D1 FR PPG)
0.25 Average D
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Matt Colford
Saint John's · 2013-14
0.615 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Jason Zaccari
Trinity · 2024-25
0.500 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Ryan Burnett
SUNY Geneseo · 2016-17
0.556 Average
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.