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Samuel Duerr Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Defense DOB: 2002-03-22 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2019-20 Sioux Falls Stampede USHL 3 0 0 0 0.000
2020-21 Vernon Vipers BCHL 16 1 3 4 0.250 0.0963 0.0963 0.3638 0.3638
2021-22 St. Cloud Norsemen NAHL 22 2 8 10 0.455 0.1670 0.1649 0.4797 0.4736
Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2024-25 Bentley D1 AHA 37 8 7 15 0.405
2023-24 Bentley D1 AHA 35 6 7 13 0.371
2022-23 Maine D1 HockeyEast 22 0 3 3 0.136
2021-22 Maine D1 HockeyEast 10 0 4 4 0.400
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.09
before college
Actual FR PPG
0.40
2021-22 · Maine
+340.0% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

42%
NCAA D1
5%
NCAA D2/D3
15%
Age-Out / Club
38%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#11220
Defenseman overall
#2313
Defenseman born in 2002

D1 Comparables

USHL · 2012-13 · 0.29 PPG
→ Niagara (0.51 D1 FR PPG)
0.16 Elite D
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.24 PPG
→ Air Force (0.26 D1 FR PPG)
0.13 Average D
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.37 PPG
→ Ohio State (0.18 D1 FR PPG)
0.20 Average D
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.31 PPG
→ Harvard (0.12 D1 FR PPG)
0.17 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.15 PPG
→ Brown
0.08 No data
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Hamline · 2010-11
0.609 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Aurora · 2018-19
0.636 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Wentworth · 2009-10
0.793 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.