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Tucker Ness Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Defense DOB: 2002-11-25 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2019-20 Wayzata USHS-MN 26 5 11 16 0.615 0.1657 0.1657 0.1495 0.1495
2020-21 Waterloo Black Hawks USHL 44 1 4 5 0.114 0.0698 0.0698 0.3347 0.3347
2021-22 Waterloo Black Hawks USHL 60 4 15 19 0.317 0.1947 0.1909 0.9331 0.9149
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Arizona State D1 NCHC SR 25 2 0 2 0.080
2024-25 Arizona State D1 NCHC JR 21 0 2 2 0.095
2023-24 Arizona State D1 NCHC SO 18 0 2 2 0.111
2022-23 Arizona State D1 NCHC FR 22 0 0 0 0.000

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

68%
NCAA D1
2%
NCAA D2/D3
20%
Age-Out / Club
10%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#10810
Defenseman overall
#2264
Defenseman born in 2002

D1 Comparables

Eric Schurhamer
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.24 PPG
→ Maine (0.37 D1 FR PPG)
0.15 Strong D
NCAAe PPG
Dakota Mermis
OHL · 2012-13 · 0.41 PPG
→ Denver (0.21 D1 FR PPG)
0.23 Average D
NCAAe PPG
Cliff Watson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.18 PPG
→ Michigan Tech (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.11 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Vince Pedrie
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.32 PPG
→ Penn State (0.69 D1 FR PPG)
0.19 Elite D
NCAAe PPG
Nelson Armstrong
OHL · 2012-13 · 0.52 PPG
→ St. Lawrence (0.19 D1 FR PPG)
0.30 Average D
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Trever Hertz
Utica · 2008-09
0.808 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Graham Fallon
SUNY Cortland · 2005-06
0.917 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Mike DeMarco
Buffalo State · 2001-02
1.240 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.