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Dexter Dancs Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 1995-02-01 Country: Canada
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2011-12 Penticton Vees BCHL 15 0 1 1 0.067 0.0257 0.0284 0.0971 0.1074
2012-13 — BCHL 48 6 15 21 0.438 0.1686 0.1786 0.6367 0.6744
2013-14 Vernon Vipers BCHL 56 26 41 67 1.196 0.4610 0.4670 1.7411 1.7637
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2017-18 Michigan D1 BigTen SR 39 12 16 28 0.718
2016-17 Michigan D1 BigTen JR 31 1 11 12 0.387
2015-16 Michigan D1 BigTen SO 35 7 10 17 0.486
2014-15 Michigan D1 BigTen FR 36 3 7 10 0.278
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.30
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.28
2014-15 · Michigan
-7.7% vs. projection

NCAAe Rankings

#20262
Forward overall
#761
Forward born in 1995
#970
in BCHL

D1 Comparables

Adam Gilmour
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.73 PPG
→ Boston College (0.50 D1 FR PPG)
0.43 Average
NCAAe PPG
Dave Gust
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.77 PPG
→ Ohio State (0.38 D1 FR PPG)
0.45 Average
NCAAe PPG
Ryan Papa
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.72 PPG
→ St. Cloud State (0.59 D1 FR PPG)
0.42 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Zeb Knutson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.82 PPG
→ Minnesota State (0.33 D1 FR PPG)
0.48 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Jared Thomas
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.69 PPG
→ Minnesota Duluth (0.33 D1 FR PPG)
0.40 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Colin Bella
Lake Forest · 2021-22
0.963 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Paul Rodrigues
SUNY Oswego · 2007-08
0.893 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Jason Yuel
Curry · 2005-06
1.769 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.