IcePath icepath.io · Hockey Analytics
← New Search ↗ Social Card

Jake Rozzi Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2004-01-27 Country: Canada
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2020-21 Waterloo Black Hawks USHL 6 1 1 2 0.333 0.1966 0.1966 1.0010 1.0010
2021-22 Waterloo Black Hawks USHL 55 4 13 17 0.309 0.1823 0.1894 0.9284 0.9647
2022-23 Youngstown Phantoms USHL 61 18 29 47 0.770 0.4545 0.4486 2.3141 2.2842
2023-24 Tri-City Storm USHL 55 14 32 46 0.836 0.4934 0.4625 2.5120 2.3549
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Ohio State D1 BigTen SO 10 1 2 3 0.300
2024-25 Ohio State D1 BigTen — 33 5 7 12 0.364
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.39
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.36
2024-25 · Ohio State
-7.0% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

85%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
5%
Age-Out / Club
10%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#8065
Forward overall
#286
Forward born in 2004
#628
in USHL

D1 Comparables

Chad McDonald
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.79 PPG
→ Ferris State (0.48 D1 FR PPG)
0.44 Average
NCAAe PPG
Gerald Mayhew
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.75 PPG
→ Ferris State (0.56 D1 FR PPG)
0.41 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Michael Vecchione
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.95 PPG
→ Union (0.89 D1 FR PPG)
0.53 Elite
NCAAe PPG
Joseph-Matthew Manno
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.63 PPG
→ Northeastern (0.22 D1 FR PPG)
0.34 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Charlie O'Connor
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.64 PPG
→ Bemidji State (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.36 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Jason Yuel
Curry · 2006-07
1.769 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Donny Flynn
Wilkes · 2016-17
1.423 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Jason Kalinowski
Endicott · 2015-16
1.310 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.