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Carter Berger Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Defense DOB: 1999-09-17 Country: Canada
2019 NHL Draft Round 4, Pick #106  ·  Florida Panthers Florida Panthers
No commitment set

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NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2016-17 Victoria Grizzlies BCHL 44 4 7 11 0.250 0.0931 0.1017 0.3643 0.3981
2017-18 Victoria Grizzlies BCHL 56 10 24 34 0.607 0.2261 0.2362 0.8846 0.9242
2018-19 Victoria Grizzlies BCHL 54 27 36 63 1.167 0.4346 0.4306 1.7000 1.6845
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2023-24 Western Michigan D1 NCHC — 36 4 16 20 0.556
2022-23 Western Michigan D1 NCHC — 33 5 18 23 0.697
2021-22 UConn D1 HockeyEast JR 35 1 7 8 0.229
2020-21 UConn D1 HockeyEast SO 21 1 8 9 0.429
2019-20 UConn D1 HockeyEast FR 31 2 8 10 0.323
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.33
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.32
2019-20 · UConn
-3.2% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

32%
NCAA D1
8%
NCAA D2/D3
15%
Age-Out / Club
45%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#3275
Defenseman overall
#787
Defenseman born in 1999
#775
in BCHL

D1 Comparables

Ryan Murray
WHL · 2012-13 · 0.74 PPG
→ Hamline (0.28 D1 FR PPG)
0.35 Average D
NCAAe PPG
Mike McKee
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.50 PPG
→ Western Michigan (0.05 D1 FR PPG)
0.30 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Niklas Nevalainen
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.55 PPG
→ St. Cloud State (0.23 D1 FR PPG)
0.32 Average D
NCAAe PPG
Nelson Armstrong
OHL · 2012-13 · 0.52 PPG
→ St. Lawrence (0.19 D1 FR PPG)
0.30 Average D
NCAAe PPG
Ryan Lowney
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.65 PPG
→ Ferris State (0.35 D1 FR PPG)
0.39 Strong D
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Ryan Busby
SUNY Plattsburgh · 2002-03
0.903 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Bud Winter
Saint Mary's (MN) · 2017-18
1.091 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Pat Egan
SUNY Plattsburgh · 2013-14
1.080 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.