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Luke Johnson Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2001-10-15 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2019-20 Minnesota Wilderness NAHL 3 0 0 0 0.000 — — — —
2020-21 Lone Star Brahmas NAHL 41 15 18 33 0.805 0.2957 0.2957 0.8507 0.8507
2021-22 Lincoln Stars USHL 61 15 17 32 0.525 0.3095 0.2863 1.5742 1.4560
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2024-25 Alaska Fairbanks D1 WCHA — 15 2 2 4 0.267
2023-24 Minnesota Duluth D1 NCHC — 26 1 2 3 0.115
2022-23 Minnesota Duluth D1 NCHC — 25 1 2 3 0.120
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.25
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.12
2022-23 · Minnesota Duluth
-51.0% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

55%
NCAA D1
12%
NCAA D2/D3
30%
Age-Out / Club
2%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#14372
Forward overall
#683
Forward born in 2001

D1 Comparables

Emil Romig
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.00 PPG
→ Denver (0.31 D1 FR PPG)
0.35 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Jonathan Davis
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.03 PPG
→ Nebraska Omaha (0.06 D1 FR PPG)
0.36 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Tyler Deresky
NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.79 PPG
→ Bentley (0.19 D1 FR PPG)
0.28 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Sean Gaffney
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.14 PPG
→ UConn (0.18 D1 FR PPG)
0.40 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Woody Hudson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.43 PPG
→ St. Lawrence (0.30 D1 FR PPG)
0.23 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Richard McCartney
SUNY Plattsburgh · 2016-17
0.923 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Tim Schneider
Middlebury · 2001-02
1.310 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Nicholas Weber
Post · 2021-22
1.000 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.