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Tanner Adams Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2005-09-02 Country: USA
⚠️ Aging Out 2025-26: Turns 20 before Dec 31, 2025 — final eligible junior season.
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NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2021-22 Tri-City Storm USHL 62 12 20 32 0.516 0.3287 0.3678 1.5466 1.7307
2022-23 Tri-City Storm USHL 49 12 21 33 0.673 0.4289 0.4577 2.0183 2.1536
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Providence D1 HockeyEast JR 36 11 13 24 0.667
2024-25 Providence D1 HockeyEast SO 37 11 11 22 0.595
2023-24 Providence D1 HockeyEast FR 35 6 15 21 0.600
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.36
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.60
2023-24 · Providence
+66.2% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

78%
NCAA D1
2%
NCAA D2/D3
20%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#5830
Forward overall
#274
Forward born in 2005
#923
in USHL

D1 Comparables

Connor Hurley
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.73 PPG
→ Notre Dame (0.34 D1 FR PPG)
0.49 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Hudson Fasching
NTDP-U18 · 2012-13 · 0.53 PPG
→ Minnesota (0.75 D1 FR PPG)
0.42 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Karson Kuhlman
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.56 PPG
→ Minnesota Duluth (0.45 D1 FR PPG)
0.38 Average
NCAAe PPG
Ryan Galt
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.46 PPG
→ Nebraska Omaha (0.29 D1 FR PPG)
0.31 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Avery Peterson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.50 PPG
→ Nebraska Omaha (0.54 D1 FR PPG)
0.34 Average
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Sam Anderson
Albertus Magnus · 2017-18
0.720 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Ryan Reifler
Elmira · 2016-17
1.067 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Luke Aquaro
Hobart · 2016-17
1.231 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.