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Chase Dafoe Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2002-02-25 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2018-19 Trail Smoke Eaters BCHL 7 2 1 3 0.429 0.1651 0.1838 0.6245 0.6951
2019-20 Trail Smoke Eaters BCHL 55 11 6 17 0.309 0.1191 0.1191 0.4504 0.4504
2020-21 Trail Smoke Eaters BCHL 20 3 5 8 0.400 0.1541 0.1541 0.5828 0.5828
2021-22 West Kelowna Warriors BCHL 48 18 16 34 0.708 0.2729 0.2626 1.0321 0.9933
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Alaska Fairbanks D1 WCHA SR 33 13 8 21 0.636
2024-25 Alaska Fairbanks D1 — SR 32 11 6 17 0.531
2023-24 Alaska Fairbanks D1 — JR 31 7 7 14 0.452
2022-23 Providence D1 HockeyEast — 8 0 0 0 0.000

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

40%
NCAA D1
2%
NCAA D2/D3
25%
Age-Out / Club
32%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#29154
Forward overall
#1702
Forward born in 2002
#1608
in BCHL

D1 Comparables

Ryan Siiro
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.52 PPG
→ Princeton (0.38 D1 FR PPG)
0.29 Average
NCAAe PPG
Eric Freschi
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.51 PPG
→ Cornell (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.28 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Alexander Dahl
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.38 PPG
→ St. Lawrence (0.30 D1 FR PPG)
0.21 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Evan Janssen
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.45 PPG
→ Denver (0.14 D1 FR PPG)
0.25 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Gage Hough
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.39 PPG
→ UMass Lowell (0.12 D1 FR PPG)
0.22 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Ikki Kogawa
Wisconsin-Superior · 2022-23
1.056 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Tyler Seltenreich
New England · 2015-16
1.207 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Jared Docking
SUNY Plattsburgh · 2007-08
0.739 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.