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Alex Bump Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2003-11-20 Country: USA
2022 · Round 5, Pick #133  ·  Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
Signed Professionally

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2019-20 Prior Lake USHS-MN 27 12 21 33 1.222 0.1547 0.1547 0.2969 0.2969
2020-21 Prior Lake USHS-MN 19 13 19 32 1.684 0.2132 0.2132 0.4091 0.4091
2021-22 — USHL 27 11 6 17 0.630 0.3714 0.3825 1.8909 1.9473
2022-23 — USHL 48 14 25 39 0.812 0.4793 0.4687 2.4403 2.3861
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2024-25 Michigan D1 BigTen — 42 23 24 47 1.119
2024-25 Western Michigan D1 NCHC — 42 23 24 47 1.119
2023-24 Michigan D1 BigTen — 38 14 22 36 0.947
2023-24 Western Michigan D1 NCHC — 38 14 22 36 0.947
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.37
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.95
2023-24 · Michigan
+154.9% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

98%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
2%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

D1 Comparables

Trevor Olson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.79 PPG
→ North Dakota (0.16 D1 FR PPG)
0.46 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Robbie Baillargeon
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.75 PPG
→ Boston University (0.77 D1 FR PPG)
0.43 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Joe Gambardella
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.75 PPG
→ UMass Lowell (0.24 D1 FR PPG)
0.43 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Alex Iafallo
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.86 PPG
→ Minnesota Duluth (0.61 D1 FR PPG)
0.50 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Zeb Knutson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.82 PPG
→ Minnesota State (0.33 D1 FR PPG)
0.48 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Nick Ford
Elmira · 2014-15
0.800 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Joseph Fiorino
Southern New Hampshire · 2016-17
0.593 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Jason Yuel
Curry · 2006-07
1.769 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.