IcePath icepath.io · Hockey Analytics
← New Search ↗ Social Card

Grayson Arnott Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Defense DOB: 2001-06-14 Country: Canada
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2019-20 Oakville Blades OJHL 51 7 20 27 0.529 0.1590 0.1590 0.3624 0.3624
2020-21 Penticton Vees BCHL 20 4 7 11 0.550 0.2049 0.2049 0.8014 0.8014
2021-22 Penticton Vees BCHL 48 6 31 37 0.771 0.2871 0.2662 1.1231 1.0415
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Maine D1 HockeyEast SR 12 1 0 1 0.083
2024-25 Maine D1 HockeyEast — 20 2 0 2 0.100
2023-24 Maine D1 HockeyEast — 25 2 3 5 0.200
2022-23 Maine D1 HockeyEast — 34 2 9 11 0.324
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.25
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.32
2022-23 · Maine
+28.7% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

48%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
42%
Age-Out / Club
10%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#5045
Defenseman overall
#1172
Defenseman born in 2001

D1 Comparables

Dominic Racobaldo
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.33 PPG
→ American International (0.12 D1 FR PPG)
0.18 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Brandon Carlson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.24 PPG
→ Alabama-Huntsville (0.11 D1 FR PPG)
0.13 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Matt Krug
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.21 PPG
→ Union (0.11 D1 FR PPG)
0.12 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Marc-Antoine Carrier
QMJHL · 2012-13 · 0.37 PPG
→ Brown (0.04 D1 FR PPG)
0.16 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Benjamin Gallacher
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.45 PPG
→ Ohio State (0.50 D1 FR PPG)
0.25 Elite D
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Austin Morgan
New England · 2017-18
0.714 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Mitchell McPherson
Hamline · 2014-15
1.000 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Ian DeLong
SUNY Plattsburgh · 2008-09
0.640 Average
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.