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Alex Weiermair Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2005-05-10 Country: USA
2025 · Round 6, Pick #186  ·  Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2021-22 — NTDP-U18 52 14 9 23 0.442 0.3288 0.3384 1.6585 1.7068
2022-23 — NTDP-U18 55 11 15 26 0.473 0.3514 0.3431 1.7725 1.7307
2024-25 Portland Winterhawks WHL 41 21 25 46 1.122 0.5459 0.5164 2.7407 2.5928
2025-26 Portland Winterhawks WHL 66 37 56 93 1.409 0.6855 0.6168 3.4420 3.0970
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2024-25 Denver D1 NCHC — 9 0 2 2 0.222
2023-24 Denver D1 NCHC — 24 3 3 6 0.250
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.29
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.25
2023-24 · Denver
-14.4% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

15%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
38%
Age-Out / Club
48%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#5042
Forward overall
#135
Forward born in 2005

D1 Comparables

Eric Scheid
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.94 PPG
→ Alaska Anchorage (0.50 D1 FR PPG)
0.50 Average
NCAAe PPG
Shane Sooth
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.95 PPG
→ Northern Michigan (0.45 D1 FR PPG)
0.50 Average
NCAAe PPG
Michael Huntebrinker
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.91 PPG
→ Minnesota State (0.15 D1 FR PPG)
0.49 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Mike Szmatula
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.21 PPG
→ Northeastern (1.05 D1 FR PPG)
0.65 Elite
NCAAe PPG
Tim Bonner
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.89 PPG
→ Yale
0.48 No data
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Brandon Osmundson
Utica · 2018-19
1.448 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Gus Katsuras
Hamilton · 2001-02
1.400 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Ryan Ellis
SUNY Oswego · 2002-03
1.704 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.