IcePath icepath.io · Hockey Analytics
← New Search ↗ Social Card

Luke Bibby Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2004-10-29 Country: Canada
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2020-21 Espanola Paper Kings NOJHL 12 9 3 12 1.000 0.1424 0.1424 0.4164 0.4164
2022-23 Brooks Bandits AJHL 24 2 7 9 0.375 0.1258 0.1316 0.3459 0.3619
2023-24 — BCHL 54 12 16 28 0.518 0.1998 0.2001 0.7534 0.7544
2024-25 — BCHL 51 19 17 36 0.706 0.2720 0.2587 1.0257 0.9755
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Minnesota Duluth D1 NCHC FR 33 0 2 2 0.061
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.20
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.06
2025-26 · Minnesota Duluth
-69.9% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

38%
NCAA D1
18%
NCAA D2/D3
25%
Age-Out / Club
18%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#26879
Forward overall
#1532
Forward born in 2004

D1 Comparables

Tyler Deresky
NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.79 PPG
→ Bentley (0.19 D1 FR PPG)
0.27 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Emil Romig
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.00 PPG
→ Denver (0.31 D1 FR PPG)
0.34 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Jonathan Davis
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.03 PPG
→ Nebraska Omaha (0.06 D1 FR PPG)
0.35 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Max Birkinbine
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.46 PPG
→ Air Force (0.14 D1 FR PPG)
0.25 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Joseph-Matthew Manno
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.63 PPG
→ Northeastern (0.22 D1 FR PPG)
0.34 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Trever Hertz
Utica · 2009-10
0.808 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Andrew Kolb
Wisconsin-Stevens Point · 2009-10
0.875 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Cole Gibson
Milwaukee School of Engineering · 2010-11
1.038 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.