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Nolan Hayes Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Defense DOB: 2002-08-14 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2018-19 Thayer Academy NE-Prep 26 1 9 10 0.385 0.0762 0.0762 0.1752 0.1752
2019-20 Cushing Academy NE-Prep 34 8 14 22 0.647 0.1282 0.1282 0.2948 0.2948
2020-21 South Shore Kings NCDC 35 8 11 19 0.543 0.2213 0.2213 0.4364 0.4364
2021-22 Omaha Lancers USHL 33 1 4 5 0.151 0.0894 0.0864 0.4550 0.4397
2022-23 West Kelowna Warriors BCHL 18 0 15 15 0.833 0.3211 0.3008 1.2127 1.1359
Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Trinity D3 NESCAC JR 15 2 8 10 0.667
2024-25 Northeastern D1 HockeyEast 5 0 0 0 0.000
2023-24 Northeastern D1 HockeyEast 22 0 3 3 0.136
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.20
before college
Actual FR PPG
0.14
2023-24 · Northeastern
-32.8% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

55%
NCAA D1
8%
NCAA D2/D3
28%
Age-Out / Club
10%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#4706
Defenseman overall
#1181
Defenseman born in 2002

D1 Comparables

USHL · 2012-13 · 0.45 PPG
→ Ohio State (0.50 D1 FR PPG)
0.24 Elite D
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.79 PPG
→ North Dakota (0.51 D1 FR PPG)
0.43 Elite D
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.33 PPG
→ American International (0.12 D1 FR PPG)
0.18 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.41 PPG
→ Bowling Green
0.22 No data
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.32 PPG
→ Dartmouth
0.17 No data
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Morrisville · 2023-24
0.684 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Wisconsin-River Falls · 2004-05
0.850 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
University of New England · 2014-15
1.037 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.