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Carter Dekay Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Defense DOB: 2006-08-22 Country: Canada
⚠️ Aging Out 2026-27: Turns 20 before Dec 31, 2026 — final eligible junior season.
Northern Michigan
CCHA D1

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2023-24 Cowichan Valley Capitals BCHL 3 0 0 0 0.000 — — — —
2024-25 Cowichan Valley Capitals BCHL 48 9 16 25 0.521 0.2007 0.2091 0.7575 0.7890
2025-26 Cowichan Valley Capitals BCHL 42 9 14 23 0.548 0.2110 0.2120 0.7964 0.8003
2026-27 Cowichan Valley Capitals BCHL 7 1 5 6 0.857 0.3302 0.3302 1.2466 1.2466
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

30%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
18%
Age-Out / Club
52%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#6995
Defenseman overall
#1474
Defenseman born in 2006
#1602
in BCHL

D1 Comparables

USHL · 2012-13 · 0.45 PPG
→ Ohio State (0.50 D1 FR PPG)
0.24 Elite D
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.79 PPG
→ North Dakota (0.51 D1 FR PPG)
0.43 Elite D
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.41 PPG
→ Bowling Green
0.22 No data
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.47 PPG
→ Denver (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.26 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.57 PPG
→ Providence (0.19 D1 FR PPG)
0.32 Average D
NCAAe PPG

Northern Michigan Alumni similar profiles who attended this school

AJHL 2021-22
0.42
actual FR PPG at Northern Michigan
BCHL 2023-24
0.26
actual FR PPG at Northern Michigan
BCHL 2019-20
0.00
actual FR PPG at Northern Michigan
USHL 2018-19
0.35
actual FR PPG at Northern Michigan

D2/3 Comparables

Utica · 2017-18
0.636 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Norwich · 2017-18
0.966 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Westfield State · 2017-18
0.846 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.