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Carter Dekay Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Defense DOB: 2006-08-22 Country: Canada
⚠️ Aging Out 2026-27: Turns 20 before Dec 31, 2026 — final eligible junior season.
Northern Michigan
CCHA D1

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2023-24 Cowichan Valley Capitals BCHL 3 0 0 0 0.000 — — — —
2024-25 Cowichan Valley Capitals BCHL 48 9 16 25 0.521 0.2007 0.2091 0.7579 0.7894
2025-26 Cowichan Valley Capitals BCHL 42 9 14 23 0.548 0.2110 0.2120 0.7969 0.8008
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

45%
NCAA D1
2%
NCAA D2/D3
20%
Age-Out / Club
32%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#6872
Defenseman overall
#1441
Defenseman born in 2006
#1546
in BCHL

D1 Comparables

Tommy Davis
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.34 PPG
→ Princeton (0.29 D1 FR PPG)
0.20 Average D
NCAAe PPG
Christian Neumann
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.29 PPG
→ UConn (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.16 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Mike McKee
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.50 PPG
→ Western Michigan (0.05 D1 FR PPG)
0.28 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Neal Goff
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.18 PPG
→ Western Michigan (0.14 D1 FR PPG)
0.10 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Niklas Nevalainen
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.55 PPG
→ St. Cloud State (0.23 D1 FR PPG)
0.31 Average D
NCAAe PPG

Northern Michigan Alumni similar profiles who attended this school

Josh Zinger
AJHL 2020-21
0.42
actual FR PPG at Northern Michigan
Rylan Yaremko
BCHL 2015-16
0.15
actual FR PPG at Northern Michigan
Viking Gustafsson Nyberg
SuperElit 2022-23
0.09
actual FR PPG at Northern Michigan
Phil Beaulieu
USHL 2014-15
0.42
actual FR PPG at Northern Michigan

D2/3 Comparables

Roman Cherniak
Lawrence · 2023-24
0.842 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Mac Olson
Hobart · 2010-11
0.846 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Matthew Bobko
Chatham · 2022-23
0.000 No data
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.