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Christian Humphreys Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2006-02-04 Country: USA
2024 NHL Draft Round 7, Pick #215  ·  Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2022-23 — NTDP-U18 58 23 20 43 0.741 0.5749 0.5826 2.7594 2.7965
2023-24 — NTDP-U18 52 23 35 58 1.115 0.8649 0.8321 4.1514 3.9939
2024-25 Kitchener Rangers OHL 28 11 22 33 1.179 0.6839 0.6748 3.0202 2.9798
2025-26 Kitchener Rangers OHL 63 27 58 85 1.349 0.7829 0.7331 3.4573 3.2373
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2024-25 Michigan D1 BigTen — 10 0 1 1 0.100
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.68
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.10
2024-25 · Michigan
-85.3% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

2%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
10%
Age-Out / Club
88%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#2814
Forward overall
#22
Forward born in 2006

D1 Comparables

Kyle Novak
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.20 PPG
→ Western Michigan (0.19 D1 FR PPG)
0.68 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Luc Gerdes
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.00 PPG
→ Colorado College (0.25 D1 FR PPG)
0.58 Developing
NCAAe PPG
J.T. Stenglein
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.04 PPG
→ Michigan (0.07 D1 FR PPG)
0.61 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Mike Szmatula
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.21 PPG
→ Northeastern (1.05 D1 FR PPG)
0.68 Elite
NCAAe PPG
Zach Stepan
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.39 PPG
→ Minnesota (0.60 D1 FR PPG)
0.84 Strong
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Arkhip Ledenkov
St. Scholastica · 2018-19
1.636 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Neil Trimm
Neumann · 2003-04
1.800 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Brandon Osmundson
Utica · 2018-19
1.448 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.