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Sam Laurila Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Defense DOB: 2006-09-02 Country: USA
2025 NHL Draft Round 5, Pick #138  ·  New York Islanders New York Islanders
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2022-23 — NTDP-U18 54 4 11 15 0.278 0.2154 0.2245 1.0339 1.0775
2023-24 — NTDP-U18 61 3 8 11 0.180 0.1398 0.1385 0.6711 0.6649
2024-25 Fargo Force USHL 57 8 33 41 0.719 0.4422 0.4494 2.1192 2.1538
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 North Dakota D1 NCHC FR 36 1 9 10 0.278
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.31
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.28
2025-26 · North Dakota
-9.5% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

88%
NCAA D1
2%
NCAA D2/D3
5%
Age-Out / Club
5%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#3998
Defenseman overall
#849
Defenseman born in 2006

D1 Comparables

Michael Kapla
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.49 PPG
→ UMass Lowell (0.41 D1 FR PPG)
0.31 Strong D
NCAAe PPG
Dan Renouf
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.49 PPG
→ Maine (0.32 D1 FR PPG)
0.30 Strong D
NCAAe PPG
Ian Brady
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.53 PPG
→ Nebraska Omaha (0.64 D1 FR PPG)
0.33 Elite D
NCAAe PPG
Gavin Bayreuther
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.55 PPG
→ St. Lawrence (0.95 D1 FR PPG)
0.34 Elite D
NCAAe PPG
Will Butcher
NTDP-U18 · 2012-13 · 0.55 PPG
→ Denver (0.42 D1 FR PPG)
0.41 Strong D
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Sam Anderson
Albertus Magnus · 2017-18
0.720 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Nolan Redler
UMass Boston · 2015-16
1.125 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Lucas Signoretti
Buffalo State · 2022-23
1.120 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.