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Cayden Casey Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2004-10-07 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2019-20 Elk River/Zimmerman USHS-MN 28 12 12 24 0.857 0.1085 0.1085 0.2082 0.2082
2020-21 Elk River/Zimmerman USHS-MN 20 17 13 30 1.500 0.1899 0.1899 0.3644 0.3644
2021-22 Andover USHS-MN 31 24 49 73 2.355 0.2981 0.2981 0.5720 0.5720
2022-23 Des Moines Buccaneers USHL 17 2 4 6 0.353 0.2082 0.2128 1.0599 1.0831
2023-24 Minot Minotauros NAHL 57 12 22 34 0.597 0.2192 0.2231 0.6296 0.6407
2024-25 Cedar Rapids RoughRiders USHL 21 5 1 6 0.286 0.1685 0.1552 0.8581 0.7905
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 St. Lawrence D1 ECAC SO 35 4 20 24 0.686
2024-25 St. Lawrence D1 ECAC — 13 1 3 4 0.308
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.19
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.31
2024-25 · St. Lawrence
+64.2% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

28%
NCAA D1
18%
NCAA D2/D3
42%
Age-Out / Club
8%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#27514
Forward overall
#1601
Forward born in 2004

D1 Comparables

Woody Hudson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.43 PPG
→ St. Lawrence (0.30 D1 FR PPG)
0.23 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Tyler Deresky
NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.79 PPG
→ Bentley (0.19 D1 FR PPG)
0.28 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Cullen Hurley
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.38 PPG
→ Wisconsin
0.21 No data
NCAAe PPG
Max Birkinbine
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.46 PPG
→ Air Force (0.14 D1 FR PPG)
0.25 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Eli Lichtenwald
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.36 PPG
→ Union (0.68 D1 FR PPG)
0.19 Strong
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Matt Horan
Franklin Pierce · 2021-22
0.643 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Ben Gamache
Hobart · 2011-12
0.560 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Matthew Headland
Canton · 2018-19
0.682 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.