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Dylan Holloway Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2001-09-23 Country: Canada
2020 · Round 1, Pick #14  ·  Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
Signed Professionally
VHL

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2016-17 — AJHL 2 0 0 0 0.000 — — — —
2017-18 — AJHL 28 11 16 27 0.964 0.3234 0.3672 0.8924 1.0131
2018-19 — AJHL 53 40 48 88 1.660 0.5569 0.6052 1.5365 1.6699
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2020-21 Wisconsin D1 BigTen SO 23 11 24 35 1.522
2019-20 Wisconsin D1 BigTen FR 35 8 9 17 0.486
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.47
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.49
2019-20 · Wisconsin
+2.3% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

62%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
38%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

D1 Comparables

Connor Hurley
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.73 PPG
→ Notre Dame (0.34 D1 FR PPG)
0.46 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Patrick Newell
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.75 PPG
→ St. Cloud State (0.59 D1 FR PPG)
0.48 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Austin Poganski
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.00 PPG
→ North Dakota (0.37 D1 FR PPG)
0.64 Average
NCAAe PPG
Gabe Guertler
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.85 PPG
→ Minnesota (0.21 D1 FR PPG)
0.53 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Sean Malone
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.87 PPG
→ Harvard (0.65 D1 FR PPG)
0.54 Strong
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Geordan Buffoline
University of New England · 2017-18
1.667 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Chris Atkinson
Curry · 2005-06
0.962 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Ryan Bloom
University of New England · 2010-11
1.654 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.